Martial Inspired United to End Disappointing Season on a High
It’s domestic cup final weekend across Europe as the mouthwatering action continues despite the league campaigns having come to an end, and it’s time for another round of our betting tip battle with Bookmaker Ratings.
Heading into round 13, WhoScored still holds the lead and we’re aiming to stretch it this further as we take on BR journalist Pavel Lokhovinin. The subject this time out is the FA Cup final between Crystal Palace and Manchester United, with two tips apiece and a point awarded for each correct outcome.
Pavel’s tips - read in full here
Without lifting this trophy the 2015/16 campaign will almost certainly be regarded as a poor one for United, and ultimately one that ended in failure for Van Gaal and his team.
Alan Pardew’s team is also desperate to win the FA Cup, as this would put a real positive spin on their season. We remember the 2007/08 and 2012/13 Cup finals, when Portsmouth and Wigan Athletic were the unexpected winners. After all the FA Cup is a tournament where courage and strength often prevail. Winning this final also offers a passage through to European football next season, something that should greatly motivate Palace, but not really United as they have already secured a Europa League spot.
The odds on a Palace win are just too tempting to miss – @5.00. The bookmakers are underestimating the magic of the FA Cup.
We also think that both teams will play it safe in the first half. The stakes are too high for teams to go racing off from the start and each team is likely to try and feel their way into the game. With this in mind, under 0.5 goals first half goals at 13/8 with William Hill looks a good bet.
WhoScored’s say
Pavel is right to point towards the fact that you should never overlook an underdog in such an important, one-off game for both clubs, but Manchester United will be motivated, without question. It’s 12 years since they lifted the FA Cup, stretching long into the Sir Alex Ferguson era, and Louis van Gaal will want to sign off on a high if he is, as expected, in line for the chop. Indeed, a defeat in the final against Palace would surely seal his fate.
Moreover, it’s gone somewhat unnoticed that United actually ended the season in decent form and, in fact, only Leicester and Southampton (both 12) won more league matches in 2016. When you factor in all competitions, no Premier League team has tasted victory as much as Van Gaal’s side (17 times) since the turn of the year. While Palace’s cup run has been a godsend given their well-publicised dip in form in England’s top-flight, I don’t share Pavel’s faith in the Eagles in this one. His tip of a 0-0 draw at half-time, however, looks a far safer bet…
WhoScored’s tips - full match preview
Like Pavel, I don’t see too much goalmouth action in the opening exchanges this Saturday. Much of United’s success this year has been built from a solid defensive record, with no team conceding fewer goals in the Premier League in 2015/16 (35). Of the aforementioned 17 wins United have accrued in all competitions in 2016, ten have come without conceding and I’m backing a repeat this weekend against a Palace side that has scored just once in their 6 meetings with the Red Devils since returning to the top-flight.
The other real positive for Louis van Gaal and, in particular, the United fans as they look ahead to the future has been the displays of Anthony Martial. After a mid-season lull having hit the ground running at Old Trafford, the young Frenchman has gone on to score 17 goals in all competitions for the club. The 20-year old earned his side a place in the final with a last gasp winner against Everton, meaning he already has a goal to his name at Wembley, and ended the campaign with 4 goals in his last 4 games. As a result my tips are Martial to score anytime @3.30 and United to win to nil @2.40 with William Hill.
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